If Mac bats in 5th or 6th

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1) CONDITIONAL PROBABILITIES ASSUMING HE BATS IN INNING SHOWN; TOO COMPLICATED TO CALC PROB HE BATS AND WHICH PA (3 OR 4)

2) GROUPINGS AS BEFORE, BARS FOR 7-9 ORDER (M,O,P; O,P,M; M,P,O)

3) SIMILAR SMALL EFFECTS TO 3rd & 4th

4) TOO COMPLEX (PINCH HITTERS) TO GO BEYOND THIS POINT

5) ALL TOLD, BATTING PITCHER 8 IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN ABOUT 2 MORE PAs WITH MEN ON AFTER ASG