Mac’s 3rd & 4th Inning Probs.

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1) COMPLEX TABLE -- SMALL SUMMARY TABLE AT RIGHT IS KEY RESULT

2) USES FULL SEASON DATA; COMPARISONS (NOT VALUES) USING PITCHER HAND SPLITS SIMILAR

3) ASSUMES MAC DOES NOT BAT IN 2nd (SMALL PROB. HE DOES), SO WE ARE LOOKING AT EFFECT OF P BAT POSITION ON HIS 2nd PA

4) ABOUT 1% LESS CHANCE OF BASES EMPTY WHEN P BATS 8 --> 1 MORE 2nd PA IN SECOND HALF WITH MEN ON EXPECTED

5) BASES EMPTY MORE LIKELY IF MAC BATS IN 4th THAN IN 3rd