Slide 9 of 14
Notes:
JUST SO HAPPENS I HAVE A SUITABLE MODEL…
1) MODEL IS BASED ON PROBABILITIES OF GOING FROM ONE RUNNERS/OUTS TO ANOTHER BASED ON INDIVIDUAL BATTER DATA
3) OVERALL MORE BB WITH 1st OPEN (NOT LIKE MAC) AND FEWER WITH BASES FULL, SO MODEL ADJUSTS (BUT MAC WALKED 6/14 LOADED PA!)
A) RUNNING EVENTS EXCEPT FOR SB TRY ARE ACCORDING TO LEAGUE AVERAGES
B) ONLY PITCHERS TRY SAC BUNTS
5) ASSUMPTIONS OK SINCE BATTING ORDER COMPARISONS ARE MAIN INTEREST
